By Phasma ScriptorHurricanes brushing the NEC, at Long Island and Cape Cod especially, aren’t exceedingly unusual. What would be out-of-the-ordinary are the direct strikes, the last of consequence being the so-called Long Island Express of 1938, also not exactly an event so rare that no one alive remembers. Even more rare, however, are the hurricanes that run up over land in the NEC below New England which kind of sticks its chin out into the Atlantic.
In the 1st post re: Earl, the jetstream was described as “tak[ing] a soft left turn up through Montana into Canada, thence east after a soft right, followed by a rather crazy hard right over Maine and, then, a very tight u-turn northward over the Atlantic”; in the last post, the path of the jetstream was described as “having [the effect of causing] the forecast of the cold front behind the northeasterly line being able to move east to push Earl away from the East Coast [to] fail”, an effect which has occurred. All that’s needed with respect to this cold front vis a vis Earl is a delay of one day. Previous forecasts of the progress of that cold front had it passing Chicago in one day; the reality is that, as of today, the front stalled in the Chicago area for the required single day, meaning, that the front won’t arrive on the western edge of the NEC in time to steer Earl away from the NEC being in harm’s way; this is confirmed by the experts, the meteorologists and their computer models, which have, as of this morning, shifted Earl’s track west with one model predicting Earl will be over land from Hatteras Island, NC, to Canada. Furthermore, the jetstream has maintained that clockwise curl north of Maine that, if still in place when Earl approaches, will slow Earl down, allowing its winds to do damage for a longer period.
The best case scenario, Earl being shoved away from the East Coast by the cold front, is already slipping away, according to the experts. The worst case scenario hasn’t yet been offered, the complete official admitted range being repeated on The Weather Channel every ten minutes or so (making it possible for me to have a life outside of watching TWC). Perhaps, not wanting to be Chicken Little, the possibility of rather severe damage to the infrastructure of the NEC via a substantial landfall episode w/Earl has been alarmingly non-alarmist. I have no such restrictions.
Should Earl take the current most westerly path over land from Hatteras to Canada, the usual physical characteristics would not apply. Normally, hurricanes weaken when leaving warm water, the energy from which feeds the cyclonic system, ramping up the wind speeds and strengthening the eye. The offshore waters of New England are currently in the upper 80s to lower 90s, a generous supply of energy for Earl. What’s new compared to the landfall of other hurricanes, say over Florida or along the Gulf Coast, is the enormous amount of heat-retaining pizza-oven bricks (concrete and asphalt) that are layered all over the NEC, the most urban demographic on Earth.
With NEC over the last month and more in record territory, the amount of heat (that is, energy for Earl) radiating from all that concrete and asphalt has never been calculated, nor has its potential for feeding a hurricane running over the land, but close to the coastline … except for the evil Tesla-masterminds of the Rothschild weather bombers. Their estimates of the NEC’s pizza-oven effect (POE) would have to include, inter alia, an approximation of the energy available from the NEC’s concrete/asphalt surfaces and the manner in which that POE would sustain a hurricane scudding along the coastline.
When the CCW cyclone of Earl runs along the coast from DC to Boston (BosWash - Boston, New York, Philly, Baltimore, DC), the winds at the 6 o’clock position would normally be relatively weak coming down from the 12 o’clock position over land; however, if the POE, benefiting also from the current heat and humidity of the NEC, draws energy from the pizza-oven brix, it will not be weakened by nearly as much as it would otherwise have been while passing over land. As the cyclonic winds turn up towards 12 o’clock over the shallow water close to shore, which would be warmer than the water further out, Earl’s strength will be diminished far less than if it were over colder Atlantic waters.
Thus, the potential for Earl, perhaps even gaining strength on this overland path, is for a Category 2 as it moves northward, maybe a Category 3 due to the POE. Damage from a Cat 3 over the NEC would easily surpass the damages from any other natural catastrophe; gravely affected would be, e.g., Brit Crown jewel Lloyd’s of London, the names (the individuals who put up their personal assets to underwrite Lloyd’s risk) of which are still trying to recover from the combined financial disaster of Katrina, the Xmas Tsunami, the AIG meltdown, etc. That would be the world’s pinnacle of the insurance industry (as the monster reinsurer, or insurer of insurance companies) taking one for the Rothschild team, although, with proper forewarning, Lloyd’s could easily have laid off its bets on the rest of the global community of investing suckers, via unabashedly shameful Goldman Sachs and others of its ilk.
The only mitigating factor now is the somewhat dry air hanging over the Mid-Atlantic coast; that, however, may only serve to move Earl further north before it makes landfall. Fiona rear-ending Earl weakened the front-runner slightly, but there’s plenty of ocean fuel between that collision and the Atlantic Coast to restore Earl to a Category 4 prior to its assault on the NEC.
Since this is the 1st attempt by the Rothschild weather bombers to deflect a cyclone over the NEC, the skill level required to execute such a maneuver is untested and, therefore, uncertain as to the macro-control required over such large expanses of land. Unfortunately, the ability of the weather bombers to direct a tornado right over the heart of NYC (followed by a direct hit on Philly) demonstrates considerable capability in manipulating severe weather systems in the sloppy summer air. Plus, what is almost certainly the most advantageous natural circumstances of Earl in any year and the other favorable weather conditions in the central plains provide a large incentive and urgency to be successful w/Earl.
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